Expect average to above-normal rainfall this monsoon season – Pakistan Meteorological Department issues Monsoon Outlook 2025

29 May 2025 – The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts normal to slightly above-normal rainfall over central and southern Pakistan, with enhanced rainfall in northeastern Punjab and Kashmir for this year’s monsoon season. Northern KP and Gilgit-Baltistan are expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, while above-normal temperatures are likely across the country.

PMD released its outlook during the 5th Climate Application Forum (CAF), hosted with the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System (RIMESat Ramada Hotel, Islamabad. The forum brought together over 50 key stakeholders from national and provincial government bodies, academia, agriculture and irrigation departments, disaster management authorities, NGOs, INGOs, UN agencies, development partners, and the defence sector to strengthen collaboration on climate resilience and multi-hazard early warning systems.

The Department warns of increased risks of riverine floods, flash/urban flooding, and Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOFs), along with dust storms, hail, and strong winds. Authorities are urged to activate Emergency Operation Centers, and the public is advised to stay informed via PMD alerts, avoid travel during heavy rains, and report blocked drainage. Major reservoirs, including Tarbela and Mangla, currently maintain healthy water levels, indicating favorable water availability for the season.

During the Forum, Mr. Mahr Sahibzad Khan, Director General PMD and Vice President of WMO (RA-II), emphasized the critical role of PMD’s early warning services and climate information in risk reduction and national planning. Mr. Bilal Khalid, World Bank Representative, highlighted efforts under the “Modernization of Hydromet Services in Pakistan” project aimed at strengthening PMD’s capacity.  The Guest of Honour, Lt. Gen (R) Nadeem Ahmad, Adviser at RIMES, offered valuable insights on disaster anticipation and effective management strategies, emphasizing the need for proactive measures in the face of growing climate risks. Meanwhile, the Chief Guest, Maj. Gen. Amer Ashfaq Kayani, Secretary (In-charge) for the Ministry of Defence, expressed his appreciation for PMD’s efforts and reaffirmed the ministry’s full support in enhancing early warning dissemination to vulnerable communities across the country.


The 5th Climate Application Forum participants hosted by PMD

The forum concluded with a vote of thanks delivered by the Director General of PMD, expressing gratitude to all participants and partners for their valuable contributions and continued collaboration.